WHAT HILLARY CLINTON NEEDS TO DO TO WIN IN 2016
…Hillary Clinton, the apparent
Democratic choice for 2016
Keeping the White House in 2016
needs some serious coordination between Hillary and the president.
I’ve been very
pleased that my blog has continued to gain some very respectable numbers for
new readers and followers. As expected,
most of those following me are aware of how I feel about the Klown Kar of Republicans that will be
running in the 2016 elections. However,
now I am getting requests about how I feel about Hillary Clinton’s chances as it appears she is the anointed one
for the Democrats in 2016.
First, we need
to consider how the voters are looking at who they want in the next
election.
Many of the
voters in 2008 that went for Barack Obama, especially those younger voters, they
also considered looking elsewhere in 2012.
Fortunately, their choice of Obama over Romney was always in Obama’s
favor and he won with a plurality that totally stunned both Fox News and the Republicans, and
especially the Romney family.
So, now we go
to Mrs. Clinton and what she needs to do for 2016.
The first question is, what does it
take for getting the nation’s voters to want to put someone from the same party
currently in the White House, back in
the White House after two full terms?
As it was back
in 1988, when Bush I was able to keep the same party in the White House, he did it by promising to
maintain a certain part of what Reagan had done, plus some of the newer areas
that the public desired. For instance,
Bush I promised that he would be both an “education
president” and an “environmental
president”. He also promised to
offer a “kinder, gentler nation”. This allowed him to call himself the new and
improved Republican candidate.
Hillary’s job
will be to also clarify that she is going to continue with the popular areas
that have allowed the economy to get back on track. She has to show that she is ready to change
the status quo for the struggling middle class and the current increasing
numbers of those living below the poverty line.
She has to show how she would go after the devastating budget that has
been presented by the Republican House
that wants to privatize Social Security and
wants to de-rail or repeal Obamacare.
Hillary made
it clear where she is focusing with her announcement video when she said, “Americans have fought their way back from
tough economic times. But the deck is
still stacked in favor of those at the top. Everyday Americans need a champion,
and I want to be that champion.”
She now needs
to state how she would handle differently the nation’s relationship with Israel
and Russia and Vladimir Putin and where she stands on the potential agreement
being discussed with Iran.
The delicate
area is, will she be able to distinguish herself for the Democratic Party
today, and for the future, without totally distancing herself from President
Obama? Having a strategic distance is
not the same as total estrangement. But it must all be worked out together in
advance.
Just as it was
for Bush I, the white, working class voters will be very important for
Hillary. But the change for today is how
important the growing voter minority groups will be for all the
candidates. Obama obviously took over 95% of the Black vote in America, but
he also took the majority of the Hispanic, Asian and women’s votes. These will also be just as important for
Hillary.
And there are some
good things that are going for Hillary.
Hillary is a
known entity and she has been fully vetted going back to the early 1990’s. Being a very active First Lady, a twice
elected New York Senator, a successful Secretary of State, she is more than
qualified to be the nation’s president.
She is in many ways, much more qualified than most of the Republican
presidential candidates.
Her liabilities
are where the Republicans will be going after her such as the made-up Benghazi
scandal, her issues with her e-mails as the Sec. of State, and they will
unfortunately bring back all the non-scandal-scandals from her husband’s two terms. Those include: White-Water Gate, Travel-Gate,
Trooper-Gate and her having a former impeached president-husband, who, that if
she’s elected, would become the first, “First
Dude” in the White House.
But having
this particular former president as a husband can also be a positive for
Hillary. The general public has always liked the
Clintons, and Bill Clinton in particular as a former US president. It is well remembered that for the Obama
administration, Bill became the honorary “Vice
President of Explaining Shxx”, when he did an excellent job of explaining
to the nation how Obamacare would
work for the people.
But right out
of the gate, especially starting in Omaha, Hillary needs to take a straight aim
at the radical form of conservatism that has engulfed the GOP. She needs to be tough
enough to state how she would end the polarization that has come totally from
the Republicans not working with the Obama administration.
Hillary will
have to go both to Obama’s left and to his right. She needs to run hard against today’s
income inequality, while pledging to get done the things that Obama couldn’t on family
issues including family leave, pre-K and higher education. She will have to be
strong on expanding the bargaining power of lower-paid Americans and dealing
with the Trade issues such as the up-coming TPP
agreement. These will be tricky but
necessary issues for her to deal with.
She needs to
support Obama’s positives regarding foreign policy, but she must signal a
personal toughness for reassuring the voters who are more hawkish than the
president. Both Obama and Hillary need to find a way to orchestrate all of this,
and that part won’t be easy. The current Iran negotiations will be the first,
very challenging test.
Hillary will
need to continually ask the American public: “Does this country really want to give control of both the White House
and Congress to the right-wing ideologues whom most voters mistrust?” Hillary is currently ahead in the polls
because the country is not looking for a rendezvous with today’s extreme brand
of conservatism.
I believe E.J. Dionne said it best when he wrote
in the Washington Post, “With a little help from the president and a
lot of help from her enemies, Clinton can win.”
Truer words
were never spoken.
So, to those
that asked, barring some unforeseen circumstances, this is what I think Hillary
will need to do to be successful in 2016
Copyright G.Ater 2016
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