TRUTH: ALL THREE MAJOR CANDIDATES ARE DISLIKED MY MOST AMERICAN VOTERS

 

…The three major Candidates

 

Today’s voter anger is not a healthy sign for any democratic nation. 

 

How does an election that starts with a comment like this strike you:

 

“It is unprecedented that this will be the first time in the history of polling that we’ll have both major party’s candidates disliked by a majority of the American people going into the election.”  This is the comment from a major Democratic pollster, Mark Mellman.

 

How about this for a follow on comment from the Gallup organization: “All three major candidates are more unpopular than the losing presidential candidate at any point during the past five election cycles.”

 

If this doesn’t change during the coming general election, one could imagine that whomever wins will not have the normal honeymoon period that most presidents have traditionally.

 

If the anticipated Republican candidate Donald Trump is the final nominee, he will personally have to turn around the following statistics:

 

These are the numbers for those that do not support “The Donald”:

 

·       75% of all women

 

·       66% of Independent voters

 

·       80% of young voters

 

·       85% of Hispanics

 

·       67% of all polled voters

 

·       56% of Republican leaning voters

 

·       41% of white evangelicals

 

If the Democrats can keep Trump’s comments defending his campaign manager’s manhandling of a female reporter alive, and his comments on punishment for women that pursued abortions, the 75% of women voters that don’t support Trump will continue into November.  And remember that more women vote than men.

 

It is possible that the voters will elect a president that a majority of them view unfavorably. If we assume that Clinton has the advantage over Trump, said Democratic pollster Peter Hart, “she is going to be elected, if she wins, in minus territory, it is something we’ve never had before.”

 

According to the pollsters, the voters’ assessments of the candidates between April and the Election Day have traditionally tended to stay the same, but this is not a normal election.  With Hillary Clinton’s roller-coaster nature of her poll ratings, she may have the capacity to rise again. 

 

But for Donald Trump, on a national basis as shown above, if the traditional assessments apply, his position to lose the election would be confirmed.  But as I said, this is not a traditional election.

 

“Electing either Clinton or Trump with these type of unfavorable numbers immediately means a weakened president without the power to persuade from the day he or she is sworn into office,” said Republican pollster Bill McInturff.

 

The American public is basically so angry they are ready to throw out the, “Congressional Baby with the Bath Water”, including whomever is going into the White House.  Will the eventual winner have the normal charitable attitude that is offered by the public for most newly elected presidents? 

 

Historically, a new president’s approval rating usually rises between Election Day and the inauguration, but will that happen this time?  It’s highly conceivable that whomever is the final winner will not take the White House under any normal circumstances.

 

The opinion writer Ruth Marcus wrote in the Washington Post, : “Given these bargain-basement favorability numbers, will the 45th president enjoy that luxury [of approval] ? Does presidential popularity even matter in an era of [today’s] congressional gridlock?”

 

According to a Johns Hopkins University political scientist Benjamin Ginsberg: “. “Presidential power is no longer the power to persuade. Popularity at one time was a major factor in a president’s ability to govern.  But we are in the era of the institutional president, where presidents rely on their administrative powers and the powers of the office, and less on public opinion.”

 

The reality is, if Clinton succeeds, it probably won’t make much difference, if the House is still controlled by the GOP, and if it’s the same situation in the US Senate. 

 

Many pundits and analysts are expecting that if Trump is the final nominee, after the election, the Senate will end up going back to the Democrats and the House could also make that same move, or come close if the anti-Trump movement gains speed.  But there are no guarantees.

 

What bothers me is that the national political voter-anger will cause the average American voter to make some bad decisions.  That is a common problem when angry people are forced into the position of making important decisions.  In any case, this is not a healthy sign for any democratic nation. 

 

It is never a good sign when all the sides of the political environment are displeased with their choices of future leadership.

 

Copyright G.Ater  2016