DEMOCRATS EXPECT TO LOSE MORE REP SEATS IN 2022 ELECTION

 


…The ruling party in the White House is usually not successful in their first mid-term election

 

The GOP is expected to gain multiple seats due to Biden’s low approval ratings

 

 

Dozens of House members have announced they will not seek re-election and are retiring from Congress, with some having served for decades and ascended to powerful committee perches.

The reasons to leave vary.  Some are pursuing other offices, others have cited changes made to the areas they represent through redistricting by Republican run legislatures, and several have said they simply want to leave the grind of Congress and spend more time with their families.  (This last excuse is usually just another way to quit.)

So far, 31 Democrats have announced their retirements compared with 14 Republicans. This has led GOP officials to charge that Democrats are heading for the exits because they are afraid of tough re-election fights this fall or because they believe Republicans will gain control of the House next year, relegating Democrats to the minority.

Regardless of the reason, the retirements mean there will be a large group of new House members walking the halls of Congress next year.

Congressional departures per election cycle

Historically, the number of retirements within a party has served as a good indication of how the midterm elections will go. For instance, ahead of the 2018 midterms, when the electoral terrain was favorable to Democrats, 41 Republicans announced their retirement or their seats were open for other reasons compared with only 22 Democrats.

Republicans suffered a loss of 40 seats in that election.

But it’s not always a perfect barometer of what will happen during the midterms. Ahead of the 2010 midterms during the Obama administration, 20 Democrats announced their retirements or their seats were open for other reasons compared with 23 Republicans. Democrats suffered a net loss of 63 seats in that election.

Lawmakers who say they’ll leave at the end of this term

This page includes retiring members of the U.S. House who will be replaced in the 2022 general election. On the historical chart, totals include any seat expected to be left open for the election, for retirement or other reasons. Retirement announcements that came before the start of the congressional term are included in the first month’s count.

 

Fred Keller

Republican Party Republican

Pennsylvania


Kathleen Rice

Democratic Party Democrat

New York


Jim Cooper

Democratic Party Democrat

Tennessee


Jerry McNerney

Democratic Party Democrat

California


Jim Langevin

Democratic Party Democrat

Rhode Island


John Katko

Republican Party Republican

New York


Trey Hollingsworth

Republican Party Republican

Indiana


Ed Perlmutter

Democratic Party Democrat

Colorado


Brenda Lawrence

Democratic Party Democrat

Michigan


Bobby Rush

Democratic Party Democrat

Illinois


Albio Sires

Democratic Party Democrat

New Jersey


Lucille Roybal-Allard

Democratic Party Democrat

California


Stephanie Murphy

Democratic Party Democrat

Florida


Alan Lowenthal

Democratic Party Democrat

California


Peter DeFazio

Democratic Party Democrat

Oregon


G.K. Butterfield

Democratic Party Democrat

North Carolina


Jackie Speier

Democratic Party Democrat

California


Adam Kinzinger

Republican Party Republican

Illinois


Michael Doyle

Democratic Party Democratic

Pennsylvania


David Price

Democratic Party Democratic

North Carolina


John Yarmuth

Democratic Party Democratic

Kentucky


Anthony Gonzalez

Republican Party Republican

Ohio


Ron Kind

Democratic Party Democratic

Wisconsin


Cheri Bustos

Democratic Party Democratic

Illinois


Kevin Brady

Republican Party Republican

Texas


Filemon Vela

Democratic Party Democratic

Texas


Tom Reed

Republican Party Republican

New York


Ann Kirkpatrick

Democratic Party Democratic

Arizona


Eddie Bernice Johnson

Democratic Party Democratic

Texas


Incumbents seeking other offices

U.S. House members seeking a seat in the U.S. Senate

·         Republican Party 4 Republican members of the U.S. House

·         Democratic Party 4 Democratic member of the U.S. House

Running for Senate, 2022

Name

Party

Seat


Peter Welch

Democratic Party Democratic

Vermont's At-Large Congressional District


Conor Lamb

Democratic Party Democrat

Pennsylvania's 17th


Billy Long

Republican Party Republican

Missouri's 7th


Vicky Hartzler

Republican Party Republican

Missouri's 4th


Val Demings

Democratic Party Democratic

Florida's 10th


Ted Budd

Republican Party Republican

North Carolina's 13th


Tim Ryan

Democratic Party Democratic

Ohio's 13th


Mo Brooks

Republican Party Republican

Alabama's 5th


U.S. House members running for governor

·         Democratic Party 2 Democratic members of the U.S. House

·         Republican Party 1 Republican member of the U.S. House

Running for governor, 2022

Name

Party

Seat


Tom Suozzi

Democratic Party Democratic

New York's 3rd


Charlie Crist

Democratic Party Democratic

Florida's 13th


Lee Zeldin

Republican Party Republican

New York's 1st


U.S. House members running for another office

Running for another office, 2022

Name

Party

Seat

Louie Gohmert

Republican Party Republican

Texas' 1st

Anthony G. Brown

Democratic Party Democratic

Maryland's 4th

Karen Bass

Democratic Party Democrat

California's 37th

Jody Hice

Republican Party Republican

Georgia's 10th

 

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