DEMOCRATS EXPECT TO LOSE MORE REP SEATS IN 2022 ELECTION
…The ruling party in the White House is usually
not successful in their first mid-term election
The GOP is expected to gain multiple seats due
to Biden’s low approval ratings
Dozens of House members have announced they
will not seek re-election and are retiring from Congress, with some having
served for decades and ascended to powerful committee perches.
The reasons to leave vary. Some are pursuing other offices, others have cited changes made to the areas they represent through redistricting by Republican run legislatures, and several have said they simply want to leave the grind of Congress and spend more time with their families. (This last excuse is usually just another way to quit.)
So far, 31 Democrats have announced their retirements compared with 14 Republicans. This has led GOP officials to charge that Democrats are heading for the exits because they are afraid of tough re-election fights this fall or because they believe Republicans will gain control of the House next year, relegating Democrats to the minority.
Regardless of the reason, the retirements mean there will be a large group of new House members walking the halls of Congress next year.
Congressional departures per election cycle
Historically, the number of retirements
within a party has served as a good indication of how the midterm
elections will go. For instance, ahead of the 2018 midterms, when the electoral
terrain was favorable to Democrats, 41 Republicans announced their retirement
or their seats were open for other reasons compared with only 22 Democrats.
Republicans suffered a loss of 40 seats in that election.
But it’s not always a perfect barometer of what will happen during the midterms. Ahead of the 2010 midterms during the Obama administration, 20 Democrats announced their retirements or their seats were open for other reasons compared with 23 Republicans. Democrats suffered a net loss of 63 seats in that election.
Lawmakers who say they’ll leave at the end of
this term
This page includes retiring members of the U.S.
House who will be replaced in the 2022 general election. On the historical
chart, totals include any seat expected to be left open for the election, for
retirement or other reasons. Retirement announcements that came before the
start of the congressional term are included in the first month’s count.
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Pennsylvania |
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New York |
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Tennessee |
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California |
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Rhode Island |
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New York |
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Indiana |
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Colorado |
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Michigan |
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Illinois |
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New Jersey |
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California |
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Florida |
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California |
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Oregon |
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North Carolina |
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California |
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Illinois |
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Pennsylvania |
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North Carolina |
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Kentucky |
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Ohio |
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Wisconsin |
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Illinois |
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Texas |
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Texas |
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New York |
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Arizona |
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Texas |
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Incumbents
seeking other offices
U.S. House
members seeking a seat in the U.S. Senate
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4
Republican members of the U.S. House
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4
Democratic member of the U.S. House
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Running for
Senate, 2022 |
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Seat |
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U.S. House
members running for governor
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2
Democratic members of the U.S. House
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1
Republican member of the U.S. House
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Running for
governor, 2022 |
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Party |
Seat |
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U.S. House
members running for another office
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Running for
another office, 2022 |
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