LIZ CHENEY HAS DECIDED TO TAKE-ON DONALD TRUMP

 

Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy doesn’t want his people to think about the past, but Trump is from their past

 

But will that work? as one ally said: “No one is going to get to the right of her [Cheney] on the issues!”

As expected, Rep. Liz Cheney lost her House leadership position , but she is apparently going to take The Post’s conservative columnist, Henry Olson’s recommendation and take Trump on inside the Republican Party.  She says she aims to become an even more influential political figure capable of weakening former president Trump’s hold on their party.  She will continue to push for his purge.

The Wyoming Republican this week has been drafting plans for increased travel and media appearances meant to drive home her case that Trump is unfit for a role in the Republican Party.  She says that she will definitely make that case, especially if he were to decide to run in 2024.  This is according to a person briefed on her plans.

Cheney is also considering an expanded political operation that would allow her to endorse and financially support other Republican candidates who share her view of the danger that Trump poses to the real Republican Party and the country..

Cheney has told allies that She is also determined to run for re-election, despite a recent censure resolution from her state’s Republican Party,  And she plans to debate all comers across Wyoming about Trump’s denial of the 2020 election results and his role in the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.

“This is not about policy. This is not about partisanship. This is about our duty as Americans,” Cheney said in a brief but dramatic address on the House floor in which she laid out the reasons for her decision to continue to fight Trump.

“Remaining silent and ignoring the lie emboldens the liar. I will not participate in that. I will not sit back and watch in silence, while others lead our party down a path that abandons the rule of law and joins the former president’s crusade to undermine our democracy.”

Cheney has told allies she realizes the effort could take years and cost her donors and even her job.  Those aware of her plans, like others for this story, spoke on the condition of anonymity to reflect private conversations.

Cheney is unlikely to join with other groups of current or former Republicans who oppose Trump’s role in the party.  But she is decidedly against following the path of other Republican Trump critics who have bowed out of public life rather than confront his power over their party.  She has also signaled that she is unwilling to moderate her conservative ideological approach.

“She is, I think, the leader of the non-Trump Republicans, and I don’t know how big that group is,” said Bill Kristol, a prominent conservative critic of Trump who chairs the Republican Accountability Project. “It could be 10 to 15 percent of the party, though, and that is a lot of people. It is a fair number of donors, and it has the potential to grow.”

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) has repeatedly warned colleagues that exacerbating divisions over the 2020 election result and the Jan. 6 riot could undermine the party’s fortunes in the 2022 midterm elections.  However, his pleas have not stemmed Trump’s focus on both issues.  McCarthy wrote a letter to his Republican colleagues warning them that “each day spent re-litigating the past is one less day we have to seize the future.  If we are to succeed in stopping the radical Democrat agenda from destroying our country, these internal conflicts need to be resolved so as not to detract from the efforts of our collective team,” McCarthy wrote.

Cheney has argued, to the contrary, that refusing to honestly confront Trump’s actions serves to condone an attack on democracy and the Constitution. The challenge facing Cheney and other Trump antagonists is steep, with Trump having solidified his support among the roughly 1 in 4 American adults who identify as Republicans. A poll by Quinnipiac University found that only 7% of GOP voters viewed Cheney favorably, compared with 36% who had an unfavorable view of her.  That shows you how much Trump has the power over the Republican party today.

But Trump’s foes within the party and the conservative movement think there may be an opportunity in the coming months to further reduce Trump’s support before the 2024 presidential nominating cycle.

They note that his standing has faded somewhat among Republican voters and that he remains politically vulnerable.  This is according to the polls, in districts Republicans are targeting to win to take over the House next year. They also say that Trump’s bully pulpit is weaker now that he has no access to his social media accounts and that his relevance could simply fade over time.

Thus far, the anti-Trump efforts have been modest with only a few surprising or marquee names that are likely to move Republican voters.  Many of the president’s critics have struggled to gain traction against him, and many of those critical of Trump after the Jan. 6 riot, including McCarthy, have returned to Trump’s and McCarthy’s fold.

One new project, by a group of about 120 activists, including formerly elected or appointed Republicans, is to be launched soon. The effort, which will endorse and fundraise for candidates, is led by Evan McMullin, a former intelligence officer who ran for president in 2016 as an independent, and Miles Taylor, a chief of staff at the Department of Homeland Security under Trump.

“We are going to articulate an alternative, principles-based vision for the Republican Party,” McMullin said of the effort, which he said eventually could grow into a third party. “Our big message is that the Republican Party has to be reformed or replaced. That is a big departure for a lot of people who are with us.”

Taylor and McMullin, who have each founded separate groups opposing Trump, declined to reveal the names of the signatories.

Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.), like Cheney is one of the 10 GOP members of the House to vote this year to impeach Trump.  They also have started a group, called Country First, aimed at recruiting and supporting candidates who oppose Trump in the Republican Party.  Kinzinger endorsed a long-shot candidate in a recent congressional special election in Texas who came in ninth among 23 candidates. The Trump-endorsed candidate came in first, with 19% of the vote.

Hundreds of people joined a virtual “Rally for Liz” organized by another Trump-resisting grass-roots group called America First, where Kinzinger joined former representatives David Jolly (R-Fla.), Joe Walsh (R-Ill.) and Denver Riggleman (R-Va.) to voice support for Cheney.

Kinzinger has praised Cheney as shifting the conversation within the party.

“If you want to hide because you don’t want to tick off the base and tell the truth about January 6, you don’t want to admit that Joe Biden won the election, Cheney makes you uncomfortable,” Kinzinger said Monday at a National Press Club event. Kinzinger did not respond to a request for comment.

Some of the organizations arrayed against Trump have been active far before Cheney’s relentless assault on his falsehoods about the election, and his actions before the Jan. 6 insurrection.  Such as the leaders of the Lincoln Project, which taunted Trump throughout the election.  

However, the Lincoln Project has maintained a lower profile since allegations of sexual harassment were made against one of its principals, but they also voiced support for Cheney.  “I think courage is contagious and cowardice is contagious. It is the story of life, the story of war, the story of social movements,” said Stuart Stevens, who was a campaign adviser to President George W. Bush and 2012 Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney.  Romney is now a senator from Utah who works with the Lincoln Project. “I think Liz Cheney will become a historic figure that people will regard with admiration,” said Romney.

Trump also is hoping to escalate the clash against Cheney and Romney. He is planning a “scorcher” of a statement after the vote to strip Cheney of her leadership role.  He was not twisting arms to secure her ouster because he has been told the votes were already there.

Sometime after the vote, Trump is expected to continue to attack Cheney publicly, as his advisers scramble to find a single candidate in Wyoming to elevate as her endorsed opponent in next year’s primary. So far, they have struggled, with different factions of Trump advisers preferring different candidates.  Jason Miller, a spokesman for the former president, said the goal was to solidify behind one “America First” candidate.

“What Liz Cheney fails to realize is President Trump’s election in 2016 showed that there is no place in the Republican Party for permanent warmongers who believe that we should be the world’s cops,” Miller said He said this referring to Cheney's more hawkish views on military action. “Liz Cheney will now be relegated to the ash heap of history, having the same lack of influence as other military-industrial complex has-beens like John Bolton,” said Miller.

But Trump’s approval rating has taken a hit, even within the party, since the Jan. 6 riot.  An Economist-YouGov.poll in May found 78% of Republicans held a favorable view of him, with 58% having a very favorable view. His favorability back in December among the same group was 91%, with 74% holding a very favorable view.

But in other ways, Trump has solidified his hold on the party.  State and county parties have passed statements of censure against elected leaders who voted for his impeachment.  Trump was welcomed as the party’s leader at a recent Republican National Committee (RNC) meeting, which staged an event at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach, Fla.  

Cheney intends to distinguish herself from other anti-Trump Republican officials who have fallen out of favor, like former senator Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.), who left office rather than face a difficult primary campaign. She has also ruled out the route favored by people like Bill Kristol, who supported Biden in the last election.

“Cheney is absolutely a die-hard conservative,” said one Cheney ally. “No one is going to get to the right of her on the issues. No one is going to confuse her with a mushy Northeastern moderate.”

As I have stated, Cheney’s efforts will probably come to nothing if she doesn’t get other allies to also take on the Conservative media outlets that have drank the Trump Kool-Aid.  

Copyright G. Ater 2021